Dan K. Thomasson: 2016 campaign shifts to higher gear

McClatchy-Tribune News Service Published:

WASHINGTON -- If anyone doubts that the 2016 presidential election campaign has begun already despite a lack of announced candidates, the furor surrounding the leading prospects should dispel any such notion.

Both Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey and former first lady, senator and State secretary Hillary Clinton have found out quickly what it means to be the center of attention in the scramble to replace Barack Obama. Both are embroiled in controversy that probably would have gone away otherwise.

A scathing congressional report that raises questions about Clinton's management of the incident in Benghazi that took the life of Libyan Ambassador Christ Stevens and three of his security detail left little doubt that this would remain an issue in any decision to try once again to become the first woman to win a presidential nomination. Clinton said at the time of the tragedy in the old rule that the buck stops at the top that she as the State Department's chief would have to assume responsibility.

As for Christie, the outrageous actions of some of his chief advisers to punish an obscure Democratic Party mayor who they thought should have endorsed the Republican governor's re-election has raised lingering questions about his viability as a national candidate. The Fort Lee, N.J., traffic jam at the George Washington Bridge won't go away easily despite Christie's lengthy contention that he knew nothing about the event.

That's all well and good but at least two official investigations are under way to determine the exact responsibility for this silly but expensive travesty, and one can expect any number of lawsuits from those who claim to have suffered from the lane closings on the ramp to the bridge into Manhattan.

More important, Christie will need somehow to overcome that kernel of doubt about is administrative honesty that the entire mess raised.

History is replete with examples that testify to the fact that being the "front runner" early in the race for the presidency is probably not the place to be. Former Michigan Gov. George Romney, the father of 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney, found that out when one simple remark blew him out of contention for the White House. He said that he had been "brain washed" by the military about the need to be in Vietnam. The perception of an ineffectual leader was too much to overcome.

Clinton seems less vulnerable given her demonstrated and highly praised work at State. Her marks in the four years leading up to Benghazi have been as high as anyone in that difficult post in recent memory. She also has established her independence from her former president husband.

Christie on the other hand has little of the same insulation. He has been on the scene only a short time and has made his reputation on being a sort of Jersey Shore tough guy who takes little of what he considers guff and lets things fall where they may.

That is, of course, until the bridge matter when he was uncharacteristically contrite. The governor also must face another obstacle. His party's viable right where any number of presidential wannabes lurk. Some, like Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, have even moved more toward the center, but still maintain conservative credentials that most Republican hopefuls need to be viable for the nomination.

Much of this will shake down in the next months until the November midterm elections. Clinton's backers are already raising money and Christie is expected to offer his campaign services to GOP candidates in the congressional races, and that undoubtedly will include conservatives although at the moment he is considered by the party's mainstream to be the best chance of fending off tea party radicals.

The fact is that the race already has begun and what occurs in the fall will decide the viability of both candidates and several more who will begin the long trek to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue in earnest once that is over. Will Christie and Clinton still be around? I'm betting they are but just how potent depends on how well they overcome Fort Lee and Benghazi.

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  • LMFAO @ the whiner.

  • hillary is the designated winner. No one can beat the democrat machine, especially when driven by a Clinton. The democrat machine can easily generate 109% of the eligable votes into a vote for a democrat, no questions ever asked. The fact that a few leaks revealing this were published about philly and toledo is remarkable, but alas voter fraud is not a problem per teh democrats.